Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000864 0.000927 0.000994 0.001069 0.001153 0.001243 0.001349
2025-12-21 0.000758 0.000842 0.000934 0.001045 0.001174 0.001322 0.001505
2025-12-28 0.000667 0.000757 0.000860 0.000986 0.001141 0.001324 0.001562
2026-01-04 0.000607 0.000701 0.000810 0.000950 0.001124 0.001339 0.001629
2026-01-11 0.000570 0.000668 0.000784 0.000936 0.001133 0.001382 0.001731
2026-01-18 0.000542 0.000644 0.000767 0.000932 0.001149 0.001434 0.001847
2026-01-25 0.000587 0.000712 0.000869 0.001085 0.001384 0.001794 0.002426
2026-02-01 0.000549 0.000671 0.000827 0.001046 0.001353 0.001785 0.002469
2026-02-08 0.000518 0.000639 0.000795 0.001017 0.001335 0.001791 0.002534
2026-02-15 0.000496 0.000618 0.000776 0.001004 0.001337 0.001827 0.002647
2026-02-22 0.000472 0.000592 0.000749 0.000979 0.001320 0.001831 0.002708
2026-03-01 0.000448 0.000565 0.000720 0.000949 0.001293 0.001816 0.002735
2026-03-08 0.000428 0.000545 0.000702 0.000938 0.001299 0.001865 0.002893
2026-03-15 0.000407 0.000522 0.000679 0.000918 0.001292 0.001890 0.003016
2026-03-22 0.000378 0.000488 0.000638 0.000869 0.001235 0.001829 0.002972
2026-03-29 0.000357 0.000463 0.000610 0.000838 0.001204 0.001810 0.003004
2026-04-05 0.000344 0.000449 0.000596 0.000827 0.001205 0.001844 0.003142
2026-04-12 0.000333 0.000438 0.000586 0.000823 0.001216 0.001897 0.003329
2026-04-19 0.000359 0.000481 0.000658 0.000952 0.001464 0.002410 0.004606
2026-04-26 0.000341 0.000459 0.000631 0.000919 0.001425 0.002375 0.004631
2026-05-03 0.000327 0.000442 0.000611 0.000895 0.001401 0.002367 0.004720
2026-05-10 0.000317 0.000430 0.000598 0.000884 0.001401 0.002407 0.004934
2026-05-17 0.000305 0.000415 0.000580 0.000863 0.001380 0.002401 0.005031